Okay ... I'm gonna be the first to start the thread.
First off, just let me say that Marco Rubio does not stand for everything I stand for as a "conservative libertarian" (that's the best way I can describe myself) ... but fact is, he's the best Republican candidate to beat Hillary so far as I can tell.
Can he take any of Iowa, NH, SC .... remains to be seen if he can get one of those, but I think he'll at least "place" in 2 out of 3 of those. His best shot is probably NH.
But he's got the money behind him now ... so he can stay in it for the long haul and doesn't necessarily need to come out #1 in any of those three early States. The Republican primary is about more than just those three States, California alone has 170+ delegates as I recall.
Theoretically, Rubio could lose all 3 of those early primary States ... and lose the solid south ... and still take the nomination. Take a look at the delegate breakdown: http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P16/R-Alloc.phtml
He's just got to make a good showing, at least hold his own and have one or two shining moments, at next week's debate (which shouldn't be a problem as he's a well disciplined debater) .. then start the ad campaign in January with all of his new-found money and get his name recognition up (a lot of big money has gotten behind Rubio & Rubo PACS in the past 3 weeks) He's already getting a lot more Congressional endorsements than the other candiates.
Is the dark horse about to make his move after the holiday season? I think so. Will he ultimately be the nominee ... even if it comes to a brokered convention? I'm starting to think so.
Can he beat Hillary? I think so ... by at least a 5 point margin.
What say you all?
First off, just let me say that Marco Rubio does not stand for everything I stand for as a "conservative libertarian" (that's the best way I can describe myself) ... but fact is, he's the best Republican candidate to beat Hillary so far as I can tell.
Can he take any of Iowa, NH, SC .... remains to be seen if he can get one of those, but I think he'll at least "place" in 2 out of 3 of those. His best shot is probably NH.
But he's got the money behind him now ... so he can stay in it for the long haul and doesn't necessarily need to come out #1 in any of those three early States. The Republican primary is about more than just those three States, California alone has 170+ delegates as I recall.
Theoretically, Rubio could lose all 3 of those early primary States ... and lose the solid south ... and still take the nomination. Take a look at the delegate breakdown: http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P16/R-Alloc.phtml
He's just got to make a good showing, at least hold his own and have one or two shining moments, at next week's debate (which shouldn't be a problem as he's a well disciplined debater) .. then start the ad campaign in January with all of his new-found money and get his name recognition up (a lot of big money has gotten behind Rubio & Rubo PACS in the past 3 weeks) He's already getting a lot more Congressional endorsements than the other candiates.
Is the dark horse about to make his move after the holiday season? I think so. Will he ultimately be the nominee ... even if it comes to a brokered convention? I'm starting to think so.
Can he beat Hillary? I think so ... by at least a 5 point margin.
What say you all?