Further storms likely to develop behind Erin
All signs are starting to point at a period of increased activity beginning to occur behind Erin by next week. The GFS has been starting to show some consistency with emerging a tropical wave by around 69 hours and developing it into a moderate tropical storm. This wave is seen currently over Africa and will likely emerge sometime on Sunday. The GFS is having problems after that correctly figuring out what this wave will do. For whatever reason it has a 1001mb low developing to the north of the wave and causing a Fujiwara effect between the two, causing the tropical wave to somehow make landfall over Africa before re-emerging north of the Cape Verde islands and moving west. This is very unlikely, and it's more likely that this wave will develop south of the islands and continue west and strengthening. Beyond that the GFS is showing one heck of a wave train beginning to start up, and we have to start facing the possibility we may see numerous Cape Verde hurricanes beginning to set up.
http://www.wunderground.com/blog/CybrTeddy/comment.html?entrynum=258
All signs are starting to point at a period of increased activity beginning to occur behind Erin by next week. The GFS has been starting to show some consistency with emerging a tropical wave by around 69 hours and developing it into a moderate tropical storm. This wave is seen currently over Africa and will likely emerge sometime on Sunday. The GFS is having problems after that correctly figuring out what this wave will do. For whatever reason it has a 1001mb low developing to the north of the wave and causing a Fujiwara effect between the two, causing the tropical wave to somehow make landfall over Africa before re-emerging north of the Cape Verde islands and moving west. This is very unlikely, and it's more likely that this wave will develop south of the islands and continue west and strengthening. Beyond that the GFS is showing one heck of a wave train beginning to start up, and we have to start facing the possibility we may see numerous Cape Verde hurricanes beginning to set up.
http://www.wunderground.com/blog/CybrTeddy/comment.html?entrynum=258