http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/bet-on-a-republican-senate-majority/
I saw this article summarized over at www.electoral-vote.com. Basically, the article says the Senate will go over to the Republicans based on the following fundementals:
1. Obama's troubles. An unpopular President weighs down his party, especially in the 6th year.
2. A great map. This is by far the reddest of the three Senate classes.
3. Partisan polarization. Democrats just can't win in red states and vice versa.
4. Democratic retirements. Too many red-state Democrats retired, creating open-seat races.
5. No crazy Republicans. Tea party Republicans did not win the primary in any competitive state.
It will, no doubt, be a razor-thin majority; not larger than 1-2 seats.
I saw this article summarized over at www.electoral-vote.com. Basically, the article says the Senate will go over to the Republicans based on the following fundementals:
1. Obama's troubles. An unpopular President weighs down his party, especially in the 6th year.
2. A great map. This is by far the reddest of the three Senate classes.
3. Partisan polarization. Democrats just can't win in red states and vice versa.
4. Democratic retirements. Too many red-state Democrats retired, creating open-seat races.
5. No crazy Republicans. Tea party Republicans did not win the primary in any competitive state.
It will, no doubt, be a razor-thin majority; not larger than 1-2 seats.