55 to 45 Democratic advantage in the Senate....what happens at midterms

The Republicans need to pick up six seats.   They look like they have a no brainer three seat pick up..........can they get the other three seats out of the ten races too close to call now.........what say you.

I say with a strong economy through November, they will only pick up five seats, and as I argued a year ago.....the vice president will be the tie breaker.

Now the Presidential election in November 2016 could be the waterloo of the Republican Party.  There will be 34 seats up for election, and only 10 are now held by Democrats, but 24 are held by Republicans, and many like Kirk in Illinois need a reasonable national presidential campaign which does not marginalize his candidacy.  If the Republicans continue to allow obstructionist and crazies  to block what is best for Americans, they will no longer be a national party.  Their last chance is to take the senate and actually start producing legislation which helps the middle class and not the special interests......but crazy is still controlling the debate......we are watching an air crash where there is probably nothing can be done......the crash is certain.

I went through the races......if the economy keeps improving, President Obama will be irrelevant, and the races will be on the merits of the candidates. If we tumble into a recession in the next three months, the Republicans will easily pick up the six seats, but only for two years. The senate is going to go deep into Republican seats in 2016, and if the Republicans only gain five seats, then you could be looking at eight to ten seat advantage in 2016.