Electoral College Model Predicts Romney Will Win Big in 2012 (And It’s Been Right Since 1980)

Markle wrote:Electoral College Model Predicts Romney Will Win Big in 2012 (And It’s Been Right Since 1980)




DENVER—Two University of Colorado professors have devised a model to predict who will win the presidential election under current economic circumstances. The victor, they say, will be Republican Mitt Romney.
The model uses economic indicators from all 50 states to predict the race's outcome. The forecast calls for Romney to win 320 electoral votes out of 538. It says Romney will also win virtually every state currently considered a swing state, including Colorado.

The professors who created the model, Ken Bickers from CU-Boulder and Michael Berry from CU-Denver, say it correctly forecast every winner of the electoral since 1980.

They warn the model does not account for sudden changes in the economy or unexpected developments in states split 50-50. Polls in many states, including Colorado, show a virtually deadlocked race.

Read more: CU forecasters predict a Romney presidency - The Denver Post http://www.denverpost.com/recommended/ci_21373080#ixzz24SJdS3L4
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Starting to get a bit confusing. I guess it is down to whether or not the mamority of voters believe the lies and last three years of President Barack Hussein Obama.

Markle wrote:
Starting to get a bit confusing. I guess it is down to whether or not the mamority of voters believe the lies and last three years of President Barack Hussein Obama.

othershoe1030 wrote:

Markle wrote:
Starting to get a bit confusing. I guess it is down to whether or not the mamority of voters believe the lies and last three years of President Barack Hussein Obama.

Guess it comes down to whether or not the majority of voters in all the right states want to elect a man whose job creation record was 47 out of 50 states when he wrapped up his stint of job creation in Massachusetts.

othershoe1030 wrote:Are you able to show us where you get the information that Mass was at full employment during Romney's term as governor?

As for the 47th ranking that refers to the job creation rate, not other labor statistics. The rate at which jobs were created in Mass while he was governor. Here's what I found in factcheck.
BTW have you figured out how to fraudulently register to vote, and vote in Florida yet?

The ad puts a new twist on a well-worn statistic used by Democrats (and by Republican rivals during the primary) that when Romney was governor, Massachusetts “fell to 47th in job creation.” It’s true that over Romney’s four years as governor, the state ranked 47th out of 50 states in percentage of job growth. It had ranked 37th in the four years prior. And it’s also true that Massachusetts added only 49,100 net jobs for an increase of about 1.5 percent, which was far slower than the national average of 5.3 percent, according to data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. But there’s another way to look at the numbers.

We looked at BLS figures for each year of Romney’s tenure. (This is tricky business. State rankings can shift depending on which start and stop dates one selects. We looked at January to January, seasonally adjusted figures to coincide most closely to when Romney took office Jan. 2, 2003 and left office Jan. 4, 2007). In the 12 months before he took office, the state ranked 50th in job creation, and for his first 12 months in office, that remained 50th. But by his final year the state ranked 28th. That’s still mediocre, but an improvement, and not a decline, as the ad would lead viewers to believe.
http://www.factcheck.org/2012/06/obama-twists-romneys-economic-record/