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Electoral College Model Predicts Romney Will Win Big in 2012 (And It’s Been Right Since 1980)

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Markle

Markle
Electoral College Model Predicts Romney Will Win Big in 2012 (And It’s Been Right Since 1980) ElectoralForecast8242012Electoral College Model Predicts Romney Will Win Big in 2012 (And It’s Been Right Since 1980)




DENVER—Two University of Colorado professors have devised a model to predict who will win the presidential election under current economic circumstances. The victor, they say, will be Republican Mitt Romney.
The model uses economic indicators from all 50 states to predict the race's outcome. The forecast calls for Romney to win 320 electoral votes out of 538. It says Romney will also win virtually every state currently considered a swing state, including Colorado.

The professors who created the model, Ken Bickers from CU-Boulder and Michael Berry from CU-Denver, say it correctly forecast every winner of the electoral since 1980.

They warn the model does not account for sudden changes in the economy or unexpected developments in states split 50-50. Polls in many states, including Colorado, show a virtually deadlocked race.

Read more: CU forecasters predict a Romney presidency - The Denver Post http://www.denverpost.com/recommended/ci_21373080#ixzz24SJdS3L4
Read The Denver Post's Terms of Use of its content:

http://www.denverpost.com/termsofuse

Starting to get a bit confusing. I guess it is down to whether or not the mamority of voters believe the lies and last three years of President Barack Hussein Obama.

Floridatexan

Floridatexan
Markle wrote:Electoral College Model Predicts Romney Will Win Big in 2012 (And It’s Been Right Since 1980) ElectoralForecast8242012Electoral College Model Predicts Romney Will Win Big in 2012 (And It’s Been Right Since 1980)




DENVER—Two University of Colorado professors have devised a model to predict who will win the presidential election under current economic circumstances. The victor, they say, will be Republican Mitt Romney.
The model uses economic indicators from all 50 states to predict the race's outcome. The forecast calls for Romney to win 320 electoral votes out of 538. It says Romney will also win virtually every state currently considered a swing state, including Colorado.

The professors who created the model, Ken Bickers from CU-Boulder and Michael Berry from CU-Denver, say it correctly forecast every winner of the electoral since 1980.

They warn the model does not account for sudden changes in the economy or unexpected developments in states split 50-50. Polls in many states, including Colorado, show a virtually deadlocked race.

Read more: CU forecasters predict a Romney presidency - The Denver Post http://www.denverpost.com/recommended/ci_21373080#ixzz24SJdS3L4
Read The Denver Post's Terms of Use of its content:

http://www.denverpost.com/termsofuse

Starting to get a bit confusing. I guess it is down to whether or not the mamority of voters believe the lies and last three years of President Barack Hussein Obama.

Dream on, you immoral hack. I'll be laughing at you in November, but something tells me you'll already have slithered back under your rock.

ZVUGKTUBM

ZVUGKTUBM
It is going to be so fun to study Markle as the election goes down......

http://www.best-electric-barbecue-grills.com

othershoe1030

othershoe1030
Markle wrote:
Starting to get a bit confusing. I guess it is down to whether or not the mamority of voters believe the lies and last three years of President Barack Hussein Obama.
Guess it comes down to whether or not the majority of voters in all the right states want to elect a man whose job creation record was 47 out of 50 states when he wrapped up his stint of job creation in Massachusetts.

Markle

Markle
othershoe1030 wrote:
Markle wrote:
Starting to get a bit confusing. I guess it is down to whether or not the mamority of voters believe the lies and last three years of President Barack Hussein Obama.
Guess it comes down to whether or not the majority of voters in all the right states want to elect a man whose job creation record was 47 out of 50 states when he wrapped up his stint of job creation in Massachusetts.

Desperation! Is that what the DailyKOS taught you to say? How about the FACT that Mitt Romney gave they full employment. How is it supposed to increase from FULL? FULLER?

Massachusetts unemployment. By the way Mitt Romney was Governor from
January 2, 2003 – January 4, 2007

Electoral College Model Predicts Romney Will Win Big in 2012 (And It’s Been Right Since 1980) MassachusettsUnemployment612012

Dark blue Massachussets

Light blue United States

othershoe1030

othershoe1030
Are you able to show us where you get the information that Mass was at full employment during Romney's term as governor?

As for the 47th ranking that refers to the job creation rate, not other labor statistics. The rate at which jobs were created in Mass while he was governor. Here's what I found in factcheck.
BTW have you figured out how to fraudulently register to vote, and vote in Florida yet?


The ad puts a new twist on a well-worn statistic used by Democrats (and by Republican rivals during the primary) that when Romney was governor, Massachusetts “fell to 47th in job creation.” It’s true that over Romney’s four years as governor, the state ranked 47th out of 50 states in percentage of job growth. It had ranked 37th in the four years prior. And it’s also true that Massachusetts added only 49,100 net jobs for an increase of about 1.5 percent, which was far slower than the national average of 5.3 percent, according to data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. But there’s another way to look at the numbers.

We looked at BLS figures for each year of Romney’s tenure. (This is tricky business. State rankings can shift depending on which start and stop dates one selects. We looked at January to January, seasonally adjusted figures to coincide most closely to when Romney took office Jan. 2, 2003 and left office Jan. 4, 2007). In the 12 months before he took office, the state ranked 50th in job creation, and for his first 12 months in office, that remained 50th. But by his final year the state ranked 28th. That’s still mediocre, but an improvement, and not a decline, as the ad would lead viewers to believe.
http://www.factcheck.org/2012/06/obama-twists-romneys-economic-record/

othershoe1030

othershoe1030
If we can't agree on the number of jobs let's take a look at how the people of Massachusetts rated him and his performance as their chief executive.

Electoral College Model Predicts Romney Will Win Big in 2012 (And It’s Been Right Since 1980) Romney10

Markle

Markle
othershoe1030 wrote:Are you able to show us where you get the information that Mass was at full employment during Romney's term as governor?

As for the 47th ranking that refers to the job creation rate, not other labor statistics. The rate at which jobs were created in Mass while he was governor. Here's what I found in factcheck.
BTW have you figured out how to fraudulently register to vote, and vote in Florida yet?


The ad puts a new twist on a well-worn statistic used by Democrats (and by Republican rivals during the primary) that when Romney was governor, Massachusetts “fell to 47th in job creation.” It’s true that over Romney’s four years as governor, the state ranked 47th out of 50 states in percentage of job growth. It had ranked 37th in the four years prior. And it’s also true that Massachusetts added only 49,100 net jobs for an increase of about 1.5 percent, which was far slower than the national average of 5.3 percent, according to data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. But there’s another way to look at the numbers.

We looked at BLS figures for each year of Romney’s tenure. (This is tricky business. State rankings can shift depending on which start and stop dates one selects. We looked at January to January, seasonally adjusted figures to coincide most closely to when Romney took office Jan. 2, 2003 and left office Jan. 4, 2007). In the 12 months before he took office, the state ranked 50th in job creation, and for his first 12 months in office, that remained 50th. But by his final year the state ranked 28th. That’s still mediocre, but an improvement, and not a decline, as the ad would lead viewers to believe.
http://www.factcheck.org/2012/06/obama-twists-romneys-economic-record/

I can understand where the chart would be difficult for you.

Full employment, by any standard, is considered to be 5% unemployment. A point extremely difficult to get below because some people just will not work.

Governor Mitt Romney took office on January 3, 2003 to January 4, 2007. Find those dates on the bottom of the chart and they draw a straight line up to the level of unemployment. Unemployment when he left office was BELOW 5%.

Once again for your convenience.

Electoral College Model Predicts Romney Will Win Big in 2012 (And It’s Been Right Since 1980) MassachusettsUnemployment612012

http://www.deptofnumbers.com/unemployment/massachusetts/

othershoe1030

othershoe1030
I see you've got your condescension machine warmed up today.

It is easy to make percentages on job creation look good, unemployment figures look low when 50,00 workers flee Massachusetts to look for work in more fertile fields. The numbers you cite show only part of the data that needs to be considered.

On a more human level what is your explanation as to why Romney's approval rating plummeted so dramatically during his term? Must have been something he did or didn't do. These are the people who saw him up-close and personal and they didn't like what they saw.


Electoral College Model Predicts Romney Will Win Big in 2012 (And It’s Been Right Since 1980) Mass_l10

Series Id: LASST25000003
Seasonally Adjusted
Area: Massachusetts
Area Type: Statewide
State/Region/Division: Massachusetts

http://data.bls.gov/timeseries/LASST25000003

VectorMan

VectorMan
The poll may be right. But, in any case, I believe people are just tired of his dumbass and will come out to vote AGAINST Obama.

He really needs to pack his bags and hit the road.


Electoral College Model Predicts Romney Will Win Big in 2012 (And It’s Been Right Since 1980) 1345568317933.cached

othershoe1030

othershoe1030
Since folks are so luke warm at best about Romney you'd better hope there are enough voters who just want to vote ABO. I think a lot of r's are just going to stay home because they won't be able to bring themselves to vote for a Mormon. I know there should not be a religious test for public office but it is something people take into consideration.

Guest


Guest
wishful thinking isn't a strategy... in this case it would be called political rhetoric. apathy is usually practiced by the side that is in charge... not that any of us could know for certain in this instance. but good luck with that propaganda thing.

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