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What's Wrong With This Picture? NYC Had Record High Arrests, But Record Low Incarcerations Under Bloomberg

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Mayor Bloomberg announced yesterday that the city's incarceration rate has dramatically dropped over the course of his administration compared with the rest of the country. “New York’s crime rate has gone down more quickly and more steeply than the rest of the country, and we are the model for low crime in this nation,” he said at a press conference in the Bronx. “But unlike the rest of the country, the number of people we are incarcerating has also gone down.” But there's a flipside to those statistics: a record number of people have been arrested since Bloomberg came to office. Which seems to indicate that while there have been a hell of a lot of arrests, there have not been a lot of convictions—which makes sense in a city where stop-and-frisks are a norm, and bullshit low-level arrests happen every day.
According to DNAInfo, the number of NYPD arrests has jumped nearly 23 percent since Bloomberg took office. There were 338,788 collars in 2002 compared to 413,573 last year; there were 98,000 stop-and-frisks in Bloomberg's first term, compared with nearly 700K last year, a 600 percent increase.
At the same time, The NY Times reports that there were 699 inmates per 100K residents in NYC in 2001, compared with 620 inmates per 100K in the country; NYC had a 13 percent higher rate than the rest of the United States. But in 2011, NYC had 474 inmates per 100K residents, compared with 650 inmates per 100K in the country; NYC had an incarceration rate 27 percent lower. "Over that 10-year period, the city’s incarceration rate decreased 32 percent while the national rate rose 5 percent," they write. These are positive numbers, but it is worth noting our city rate still puts us higher than all but ten countries on Earth.
Those positive statistics led to Bloomberg splashing a little champagne during his appearance yesterday: “Some people say the only way you stop crime is to incarcerate,” Bloomberg said at a Department of Correction graduation ceremony at Lehman College. “We have proven that to be untrue: successfully preventing crime and breaking cycles of criminal activity can save thousands from a life of cycling through the criminal justice system.”
So altogether, felony arrests have plummeted and misdemeanor arrests have soared. And Michael Jacobson, the president of the nonpartisan Vera Institute of Justice and a former commissioner of the Correction Department, sees this as an improvement: “Clearly the fact that policing strategies have led to declines in both the city jail population and the state prison population is inarguable,” he said.
City Councilman Jumaane Williams, who has often been at odds with Bloomberg over stop-and-frisk, agreed with that assessment: “I think that’s the direction that we definitely need to be going," he told DNAInfo. “The lock-'em-up strategies of the past haven’t worked."

TEOTWAWKI

TEOTWAWKI

what I don"t like about living in a state where everybody is running scared and calling for arrests and incarcerations is that ANY encounter with a policeman carries with it the possibility of ruining your life. All the way from an inconvenience to death. You could lose a fortune defending yourself against a minor crime or an outright mistake in order to keep your job or your freedom. The state doesn't reimburse you if you win either !.

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The NYPD is on pace to break last year's record 601,055 stop-and-frisks (that's 1,900 people a day). According to the Times, the department released data yesterday (on a Saturday? Hmmm) that shows police made 203,500 stops from January through March of this year—last year it was 183,326 during the same time period. Your move, McDonald's.
The department is also quick to note that the current murder rate—129 people so far through Friday—is on track to be a new low for homicides. 61 more guns have also been seized during the stops than during the same time period as last year—260 to 2011's 199—and on Friday, Mayor Bloomberg called the stops "a deterrent" to those who would carry a gun.
NYPD Deputy Commissioner Paul Browne agrees, telling the paper, "The mayor’s right. Anecdotally, we’re hearing that gunmen are carrying less often because of the greater risk associated with stops.”
Empirically, that still means roughly 783 people were stopped so far in 2012 for each gun that was confiscated. Last year it was 879, and in 2003 it was 266 people. 87% of those stopped were black or Hispanic, and 93% were male, which matches last year's statistics. Earlier this week, the NYCLU reported that despite the disproportionate amount of blacks and Latinos that were stopped, whites were almost twice as likely to be found carrying a weapon.
“While the N.Y.P.D. should continue to have the ability to stop and frisk people where there is a reasonable suspicion of criminal activity, I remain convinced that with better monitoring, supervision and accountability we can avoid the corrosive impact of a poorly targeted program,” City Council Speaker Christine Quinn said in a statement. Public Advocate Bill de Blasio said, “Make no mistake—this is the result of City Hall aggressively pushing precinct commanders to use stop and frisk beyond what is necessary and effective. It’s time to bring these numbers back to earth.”

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It's always about guns, ain't it though...?

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