Ohio continues to stand out as perhaps the most crucial of the battleground states. The Pollster tracking model estimates that Obama continues to lead by margins we classify as "leaning" on the Election Dashboard map (2.5 percentage points or better) in Wisconsin, Iowa, Nevada and another 20 states accounting for 263 electoral votes, just seven shy of the 270 needed to win. The model shows Romney leading by 2.5 points or better in North Carolina and 23 other states, accounting for 206 electoral votes.
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